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— Quincy Massachusetts News by Quincy Quarry News – News, Opinion and Commentary

 

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Taking a close look …
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After Quincy Quarry News’ successfully projecting 2024’s 8.3% average residential property tax increase slapped on Quincy homeowners — an increase half again to leaning on twice as much more than the increases in many to most other Massachusetts municipalities — to within but a few tenths of a percentage point months before of the Calendar Year 2024 residential property tax increase was officially set last December. Quincy Quarry is again venturing to project next year’s residential property tax increase.

Then again, setting the 2024 residential property tax rates after last year’s election and so covering Quincy Mayor THomas P. Koch’s tuchus was surely but a coincidence.

Also surely a concurrent coincidence was so papering over the fact of Mayor Koch’s duly calculated actual 10% Fiscal Year 2024 budget spending increase.

In any event, the quants on Quincy Quarry’s financial and taxation desk have finally completed running the numbers from Quincy Mayor Thomas P. Koch’s Fiscal Year 2025 budget so as to endeavor to suss out the bad news for homeowners come the fast approaching new calendar year tax year.

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Following the money
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After all, such is necessary as the Koch Maladministration has yet again failed to project expected residential property tax bill increases and so only properly help locals to prepare — if not also warn — local homeowners of their impending financial pain come the new year and thus again the Quarry has stepped up to the plate.

It was especially tricky for Quincy Quarry News’ crack team of quants on crack to run the numbers for the upcoming 2025 tax year.

Why so?

On top of the usual koch and mirrors rife with Mayor Koch’s annual City of Quincy budgets — for example for years Mayor Koch’s budgets do not note actual full year spending data, the Quarry’s quants only had the proposed FY 2025 budget to work with as opposed to the approved FY 2025 budget.

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Whatever the mayor wants the council provides …
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Granted, the rubber stampers on the Quincy City Council pretty much approved all of the line item asks in the mayor’s proposed Fiscal Year budget; even so, no access to the actual numbers is inexcusable.

Further, other important data are also MIA.

For example, the Koch Maladministration habitually fails to pose expected “New Growth” property tax revenue until property tax rates are set even though the maladministration has ample data to project New Growth as well as surely does so for internal consideration and uses.

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Free Cash, your cash — whatever …
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The Koch Machine is also habitually slow to disclose the expected “Free Cash” balance of greater than expected revenue plus unspent budgeted funds and so have the means to moderate property tax increases.

Then again, the Koch machine has failed to see the Free Cash number certified in time for setting property tax rates in December for the upcoming year even though it has retained an outside vendor to help see Free Cash certified by the Massachusetts Department of Revenue.

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“Counting” money …
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Further problematic, data on what certain favored property taxpayers are scoring tax breaks are all but impossible to find. 

Further problematic yet for endeavoring to project this year’s projected residential property tax increases will be be especially tricky as commercial property market values are plummeting given drastically less demand for office space given still lingering significant rates of working from home in the wake of the COVID pandemic.
 
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Your basic backroom deal
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As such, many office building owners are seeking tax abatements — substantial abatements, not to mention that City Hall will likely opt to significantly slash commercial office space property assessments unilaterally in the hope of heading off the time and expense of formal abatement proceedings.
 
In turn, residential owners will end up having pay even higher tax bills so as to cover the impending considerable drop in commercial priority tax revenue on top of homeowners’ property tax bills increasing given long soaring market values for local residential property.
 
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Quincy Quarry’s property tax increase algorithm
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Accordingly, the sum of it all behooves Quincy Quarry to project a wider and thus less certain projection for 2025 residential property tax increases even if the Quarry’s margin of error is still significantly narrower than was the case with this year’s election polls.
 
The projection?
 
Most likely a 2025 residential property tax increase of somewhere between a 3.5% to as much as leaning on a 5% average increase on local homeowners’ tax bills come the New Year.

While a lower increase than this year’s over 8% increase, such somewhat good news will be followed by bad news.

 
Seriously bad news. 
 
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Burn rate, burning money — whatever …
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To wit, Quincy Quarry is already aware of the fact that the FY 2026 City of Quincy budget is already pretty much set in concrete to have a likely near 10% or perhaps even higher spending increase.
 
The key reason for this expected second double-digit spending increase in three years?
 
The Koch Maladministration postponed until Fiscal Year 2026 to commence paying down the principle on the $475 million in bonds issued to duly fund a woefully underfunded city worker pensions that are supposed to be self-funded via employee paycheck deductions.
 
 
Only roughly 45% of the pension benefits were covered via the employee paycheck deductions that are supposed to fully cover obligated pension benefits.
 
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The City of Quincy is such easy pickings for cyberheisting!!!
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Then again, suspect investment management, koched-up pay raises care of obscene raises late in favored employees’ careers so as to pop their pension checks, and even cyberheisting do take their tolls.

Further troubling is how in fast approaching years many tens of millions more in debt service increases will be hitting the fan and then spewing on local taxpayers.
 
Why so? 
 
All manner of massive debt undertaken care of Mayor Koch spending upwards of half a billion to see Quincy Center redeveloped.
 
That and hundreds of millions more spent on a new police headquarters and other projects arguably more then a bit more expensive as could have been the case given prudent project planning and then project management.
 

 

 

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